A team which was exceeding expectations experienced normalization while everyone else in the conference was busy having exceptional seasons
Stunted-Slime
They aren’t built to fully last a whole season.
In other words they’re soft..
Jimmyskis77
They overperformed all season and came crashing down to what they always were…
Couple that with gibby being the best goalie in the league for a month and a half
TheDogWhoCantSTFU
Chris Illitch got a payday to slap a desecration onto the best jersey in sports and the Hockey Gods have determined that our punishment shall be to relive the same nightmare over and over until amends are made.
tonysalami
We were projected to be a bubble team.
Baboshinu
They regressed to the mean, they had been outperforming statistical expectations for months
shakezilla86
mrk1224
And how does this correlate to their strength of schedule?
ee9892
This team has been uninspiring for 10 years
They have no identity
At least when the pistons were ass 2 years ago you could see that they cared
CurmudgeonA
This is a really well written article with well reasoned points supported by accompanying data. Thank you for sharing! It was an interesting read and I am sorry that 99% of the responses on this reddit will be from people who read the headline and nothing else.
ChaldenesTitan
Rush team flames out during the transition into playoff hockey. More news at 11
CursedLemon
We were never the best team in the conference, let’s get that straight.
But there’s no statistical/logistical reason for these March collapses.
AppleSeiderDonuts
They stopped scoring more goals than their opponents. Pretty simple
quickboop
1. Larkin injured
2. No help at the trade deadline
3. Every other playoff hopeful peaked at the right time.
If one of those things goes the other way, Detroit is likely +3 or 4 points, hanging on to the wild card. If two of those three things goes the other way, maybe they would’ve clinched already.
All that said… It ain’t over yet.
Alpine_Exchange_36
Prasanth does have a talent for weaving in stats and using his natural voice to write good articles. Always enjoy them.
He concludes what really eroded the season was an inability to end the other team cycling the puck and Detroit’s own inability to generate chances.
To me, that’s two sides of the same coin. Can’t get the puck in the d zone. Can’t hold onto on offense. The team was not built with enough guys who can cycle and disrupt the other team .
bcurt58
This should have been titled If you wanna be depressed read this
ImpressionCertain736
Gibson got extremely hot in the middle there.
He had a stretch of 20 games where he was the best in the league.
Dry_Argument_5812
same shit- different year
Sweepy_time
There’s a certain curse that happened to 3 Detroit teams recently after certain political events. That’s all I’ll say
panicstreak
They have one good center and 3 replacement level centers eating up 10m annually, all 3 are signed thru next year.
JeremieLoyalty
This is so infuriating
Triingtolivee
Same thing that happens every March
WHTMage
The March Curse.
ElleCerra
Yzerman’s takeaway from this needs to be that he needs to listen to his fucking stats guys because Appleton, Chiarot and Faulk wouldn’t have received their blessing. Benny’s got an On-Ice Expected Goal Differential of -26.5.
Problemwoodchuck
The way I saw it, teams figured out how to derail our rush chance offense in between January and the Olympics. Gibson kept us afloat pretty much single handedly for a while before the injury bug hit, he wore down, and the bottom fell out completely.
MoldyMerkin
The team rarely strings together two complete periods of hockey, let alone a full game. They typically come out playing uninspiring hockey to start every game and either have a hot second period, or play from behind in the third and occasionally (not very often at all) claw their way back. Change has to begin with a sense of urgency at the start of every game. Take the game straight to the opposing team rather than sit back on your heels for over half a game.
27 Comments
A team which was exceeding expectations experienced normalization while everyone else in the conference was busy having exceptional seasons
They aren’t built to fully last a whole season.
In other words they’re soft..
They overperformed all season and came crashing down to what they always were…
Couple that with gibby being the best goalie in the league for a month and a half
Chris Illitch got a payday to slap a desecration onto the best jersey in sports and the Hockey Gods have determined that our punishment shall be to relive the same nightmare over and over until amends are made.
We were projected to be a bubble team.
They regressed to the mean, they had been outperforming statistical expectations for months
And how does this correlate to their strength of schedule?
This team has been uninspiring for 10 years
They have no identity
At least when the pistons were ass 2 years ago you could see that they cared
This is a really well written article with well reasoned points supported by accompanying data. Thank you for sharing! It was an interesting read and I am sorry that 99% of the responses on this reddit will be from people who read the headline and nothing else.
Rush team flames out during the transition into playoff hockey. More news at 11
We were never the best team in the conference, let’s get that straight.
But there’s no statistical/logistical reason for these March collapses.
They stopped scoring more goals than their opponents. Pretty simple
1. Larkin injured
2. No help at the trade deadline
3. Every other playoff hopeful peaked at the right time.
If one of those things goes the other way, Detroit is likely +3 or 4 points, hanging on to the wild card. If two of those three things goes the other way, maybe they would’ve clinched already.
All that said… It ain’t over yet.
Prasanth does have a talent for weaving in stats and using his natural voice to write good articles. Always enjoy them.
He concludes what really eroded the season was an inability to end the other team cycling the puck and Detroit’s own inability to generate chances.
To me, that’s two sides of the same coin. Can’t get the puck in the d zone. Can’t hold onto on offense. The team was not built with enough guys who can cycle and disrupt the other team .
This should have been titled If you wanna be depressed read this
Gibson got extremely hot in the middle there.
He had a stretch of 20 games where he was the best in the league.
same shit- different year
There’s a certain curse that happened to 3 Detroit teams recently after certain political events. That’s all I’ll say
They have one good center and 3 replacement level centers eating up 10m annually, all 3 are signed thru next year.
This is so infuriating
Same thing that happens every March
The March Curse.
Yzerman’s takeaway from this needs to be that he needs to listen to his fucking stats guys because Appleton, Chiarot and Faulk wouldn’t have received their blessing. Benny’s got an On-Ice Expected Goal Differential of -26.5.
The way I saw it, teams figured out how to derail our rush chance offense in between January and the Olympics. Gibson kept us afloat pretty much single handedly for a while before the injury bug hit, he wore down, and the bottom fell out completely.
The team rarely strings together two complete periods of hockey, let alone a full game. They typically come out playing uninspiring hockey to start every game and either have a hot second period, or play from behind in the third and occasionally (not very often at all) claw their way back. Change has to begin with a sense of urgency at the start of every game. Take the game straight to the opposing team rather than sit back on your heels for over half a game.
someone jinxed it, fess up!