Je vois tout le monde se plaindre de Mo, mais en regardant les matchs, il me semble toujours bien mais il ne semble tout simplement pas chanceux et cela correspond certainement à mon examen de la vue.
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mcauthon2
@Maple Leafs de Toronto
19 Comments
Reilly truly is awful, huh?
OEL not as good as it feels like.
The only break I will give Rielly is that most of the time he is paired with Carlo or Myers. Both of them can’t break the puck out of the zone to save their lives so they just pass it to Rielly to do it. That causes opposing players to just focus on Rielly cause they know he will get the puck causing a turnover. I would like to see him with another player that can actually move the puck. The pairing with him and OEL always seem to do really well.
Damn Myers is having a rough year, was last year better? He didn’t seem nearly as bad to the eye test, wonder if the stats backed that up as well.
I miss Tanev
Reilly should not have been resigned. He’s been the major problem with this team for a long time. He’s a number 4dman treated like a number 1D.
One of the things models can’t track is pre-shot puck movement. A one-timer off a pass across the center of the ice is one of the hardest shots for a goalie to stop, regardless if it comes from a high/medium/low danger part of the ice.
On-Ice Expected Goals% is based on the amount of shots the team allows from certain areas of the ice vs the shots the team takes from those areas. If you’re on the ice for alot of these one-timer goals you’ll have a an On-Ice Goals% lower than your On-Ice Expected Goals%, because you’re allowing the opposing team to pass the puck around easily.
he’s not unlucky. He misses assignments and leaves guys wide open, leading to goals. All the time.
How he has never been able to develop a better shot is just bonkers to me. He is offensively gifted as far as his instincts and positioning but just puts weak ass wristers wide or at the goalies chest. If he was more of a scoring threat his defensive blunders would get a pass.
Reilly passes your eye test?! We are not watching the same thing it seems. What kind of spell does this guy have on some fans?! He regularly gets caught having no idea where the puck is coming from when checking a player. Just because he’s a sound puck handler and looks composed doesn’t mean he’s a great player. I know he gets assigned the better players on the other side, but it’s not an excuse if you’re to be considered an elite defence man.
I’m in Team Canada mode now.
Some of these advanced metrics charts should come with equations. Like I have no idea if this takes into account any defensive metrics like goals against, which is where I would expect Mo to suffer greatly, but there also is a pretty damning gap between goals and expected goals for him.
I feel like expected goals for defense needs to be following by two pieces of context: offensive zone starts, and strength of opposition.
For Rielly, he currently starts 17.7% of his shifts in the O-Zone. That is tops on the Leafs. By comparison, McCabe is at 5.7%.
For usage, Rielly currently has the second lowest quality of opponent matchups. Once again, McCabe has the most.
I’m not saying their arent overreactions to Riellys play, but he is clearly being very protected by the coaching staff which impacts the expected goals. Rielly gets the most offensive zone starts AND the second easiest matchups. He SHOULD have the best numbers on the team – especially as the highest paid defense.
The fact that he is marginally above McCabe in xGF% despite McCabe having 3x more defensive zone starts and much more difficult matchups is not great for Mo.
I think the saying « you’ve gotta be good to be lucky » cuts both ways.
Troy Stetcher my sweet prince
This is why Mo is always so polarizing around this sub. for the record….love mo.
the conversations here talk about all his different partners….the debate seems to come down to the anti-mo crowd saying he brings people down, and isnt a true 1st pair guy….to the mo-believers saying look who he always gets paired with, never somebody that truly complements him.
my personal view is that this has always been an organizational issue, about the structure and composition of this team. we joke about the core-4…. and its been well discussed that we spent so much on 4 players on offense that we never had any depth to our offense. well…that had impacts on the D as well. we never have had organizational depth on D. (draft/develop plays a role here as well, not just the salary structure). as a result….yes… Mo has never had the best complementary piece to play with. who does makar play with? their worst D….or Toews? ridiculous comparison obviously but it highlights that players who get assigned the big minutes and the most responsibility….. by design get guys who can play at that level as well. Mo HAD it with brodie pre-decline…. but that’s it. ever since its been boosh, or schenn, or myers…all of whom are third pairing or scratches on other teams. YET we still ask so much of him. he has to carry a partner….PLUS play the top minutes/assignments (no not always the mcdavid match, but the draisatl match). Tanev/Mo was actually a great pair….but they were broken up because McCabe and OEL were NOT working, and then Tanev/McCabe because such a great pairing they never went back. Carlo was good down the stretch last year and post injury this year…but Mo has been suffering from something.
Mo isnt perfect, and i’m certainly not insinuating he’s an all star defenseman…. but there’s a reason he’s so loved and trusted by coaches and leaned on….the issue is that he’s asked to do so with sub par talent for most of his career. but he certainly is much better than this sub/fanbase will ever recognize.
Unlucky is the descriptor people use when they want something to be a certain way and it isn’t
enough of the Rielly defenders. He sucks. Hope he never plays for Leafs again. His absence is all the proof we need.
They ask to much of him. Hes not a #1 he wouldn’t even be a top pairing guy on a contending team. He cant run the PP and he doesnt have a threating shot. His defense is abysmal hes constantly outworked and outplayed and extremely weak on the puck and his -17 is trash